Monday, March 9, 2015
The Units Game
This cartoon representation of past climate is used by many of the warmist minions to inspire others to climb aboard their bang wagon. Other than some technical issues, it is a fairly accurate representation of past climate smoothed to about 1000 years. If you smooth instrumental data which only has at most 250 years of data, to the same period, you would get one point at about zero for the end instead of a hockey stick blade at the end.
If you are trying to sell your product you need to grab attention. Everyone should know this, but the minions of the great and powerful carbon aren't exactly the sharpest tacks in the box. Unit changes and big numbers should be part of everyone's bullshit detector. Hiding smoothing time frames should also be a BS detector input.
This is all super basic stuff. However, if you aren't familiar with this basic stuff, people can play you or themselves with "unprecedented" claims.
The trick is figuring out if they are trying to play your or have just played themselves. If they play the units game without providing a reference to more familiar units, they could be playing you. So if you think they are smart enough to know better, you might think they are being con men. But never underestimate the human capacity for stupidity. They probably just aren't quite as smart as they think.