Friday, September 6, 2013
More Recovery Response Stuff
If I highlight just the AMO from 1910 to 2009 it is easy to see the century trends. The secular trend, 0.2C per century based on the 1856 to 2012 AMO data is a close match for the Oppo data from 1700 AD. Depending on your choice of smoothing, the natural variability trend can be up to 0.7 C per century and if you are really anal, you can take the trend from 1976 to 2010 and eke out 0.8C in 34 years or a century trend of 2.4C. There is basically a factor of 10 range available for those that wish to manipulate data and public opinion. We of course don't know anyone that might be so inclined.
"Well, that is just the AMO!" they cry.